BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 75 Overall: (6-7) Overall Strength = 140.87
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2024 Home W 137.22 38 21 1B 21 ( 7- 5) Western Carolina -3.65 -55.78 20.65
2 09/07/2024 Neutral L * 125.24 10 51 1A 11 (10- 3) Tennessee -15.63 -54.59 -25.37
3 09/14/2024 Home W * 136.48 30 20 1A 116 ( 5- 8) Louisiana Tech -4.39 -16.60 14.39
4 09/21/2024 Away L * * 136.82 35 59 1A 20 (10- 4) Clemson -4.05 -25.12 -19.95
5 09/28/2024 Home W * 142.94 24 17 1A 86 ( 7- 6) Northern Illinois 2.07 -18.19 4.93
6 10/05/2024 Home L * * 129.96 30 34 1A 89 ( 4- 8) Wake Forest -10.91 -1.47 6.91
7 10/12/2024 Home L * * 140.11 17 24 1A 46 (10- 3) Syracuse -0.76 -10.38 -6.24
8 10/19/2024 Away W * * 149.37 24 23 1A 60 ( 6- 7) California 8.50 -16.99 -7.50
9 11/02/2024 Home W * * 165.69 59 28 1A 88 ( 3- 9) Stanford 24.82 4.08 6.18
10 11/09/2024 Home L * * 133.16 19 29 1A 62 ( 9- 4) Duke -7.71 -4.30 -2.29
11 11/21/2024 Away L * * 151.76 29 30 1A 43 ( 7- 6) Georgia Tech 10.89 -12.95 -11.89
12 11/30/2024 Away W * * 151.60 35 30 1A 65 ( 6- 7) North Carolina 10.73 -8.28 -5.73
13 12/28/2024 Neutral L * 130.96 21 26 1A 92 ( 8- 5) East Carolina -9.91 8.06 4.91
Averages 140.87 28.5 30.2
Best game: 165.69 = 31 point win over Stanford
Worst game: 125.24 = 41 point loss to Tennessee
Team stdev: 11.17